Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin (Poland), clay

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday


	Adrian Andreev		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.15	1.62
	2.16	1.62
	2.21	1.69
	2.19	1.6
	2.25	1.57
	1.9	1.84	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.73)	1.64 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
43.2%

Francesco Passaro
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Andreev's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Andreev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adrian Andreev - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Passaro Francesco - withdrawn.

Andreev is ranked ATP: 203. Passaro is ranked ATP: 126.

Andreev is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Passaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Passaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Passaro to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
06.09.24	Giovanni Fonio - Adrian Andreev	Andreev A. retired ✺
03.09.24	Adrian Andreev - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Adrian Andreev - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Adrian Andreev - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Daniel Cukierman - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 ?WWWW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Jaume Munar - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	Francesco Passaro - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Francesco Passaro - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Francesco Passaro - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW

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