Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova (Italy), clay - Final

Date: 9 September 2024, Monday

Referee: Torella D. (Ita)


	Jaume Munar		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.85
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.42	3.02
	1.43	2.94	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	3.03	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	2.92 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaume Munar
67.9%

Francesco Passaro
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaume Munar's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaume Munar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jaume Munar - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Munar will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Munar: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Munar is ranked ATP: 84. Passaro is ranked ATP: 145.

Recent matches Munar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Passaro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Munar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaume Munar
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Stefano Travaglia - Jaume Munar	Travaglia S. retired ✺
06.09.24	Jaume Munar - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
05.09.24	Jaume Munar - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Jaume Munar - Moez Echargui	Echargui M. retired ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Jaume Munar - Gabriel Diallo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?WW?L
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	Francesco Passaro - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Francesco Passaro - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Francesco Passaro - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Francesco Passaro - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Francesco Passaro - Jaume Munar	0:2
09.06.22	Francesco Passaro - Jaume Munar	0:2
04.06.22	Francesco Passaro - Jaume Munar	2:0

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