Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 11 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Adrian Andreev		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.71	2.14
	1.72	2.04
	1.71	2.18
	1.73	2
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.72	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.03)	2.07 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
54.6%

Zizou Bergs
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Andreev's performance.

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zizou Bergs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Andreev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zizou Bergs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Adrian Andreev - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: Adrian Andreev will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.13% – 96.29%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Andreev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bergs is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Andreev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Australian Open
10.01.23	Jurij Rodionov - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.12.22	Dusan Lajovic - Adrian Andreev	Lajovic D. walkover ✺
01.12.22	Inaki Cabrera Bello - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
29.11.22	David Perez Sanz - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WW?WW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Australian Open
10.01.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Jeremy Jin - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP United Cup
02.01.23	Michail Pervolarakis - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
31.12.22	Zizou Bergs - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.11.22	Zizou Bergs - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WW?LL

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