Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 3 (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Alexandar Lazarov

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.72	2.14
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.86)	2.22 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
57.9%

Alexandar Lazarov
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.

Alexandar Lazarov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandar Lazarov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandar Lazarov than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandar Lazarov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Adrian Mannarino - Alexandar Lazarov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lazarov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Adrian Mannarino - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.23	Adrian Mannarino - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
27.03.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
23.03.23	Adrian Mannarino - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWW
- Alexandar Lazarov
ATP Challenger
10.04.23	Elias Ymer - Alexandar Lazarov	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Nikola Milojevic - Alexandar Lazarov	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.23	Alexandar Lazarov - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.23	Kirill Kivattsev - Alexandar Lazarov	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexandar Lazarov	Lazarov A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLL?

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