Match Info

Date: 3 February 2022, Thursday


	Adrian Mannarino		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.61	2.32	Watch
	1.58	2.29
	1.59	2.53
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.82)	2.41 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
60.5%

David Goffin
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Goffin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Goffin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	0%	32.4%

Adrian Mannarino - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 48 - 67.6%). Goffin will win (votes: 23 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 56.7% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mannarino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Goffin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Goffin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mannarino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mannarino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Montpellier
02.02.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.22	Adrian Mannarino - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
21.01.22	Adrian Mannarino - Aslan Karatsev	3:1 ✺
19.01.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Adrian Mannarino	0:3 ✺
16.01.22	James Duckworth - Adrian Mannarino	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WLWWW
- David Goffin
ATP Montpellier
31.01.22	Benjamin Bonzi - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.22	Daniel Evans - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
ATP Sydney
13.01.22	David Goffin - Andy Murray	Goffin D. retired ✺
12.01.22	David Goffin - Denis Kudla	2:0 ✺
09.01.22	David Goffin - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
15.08.19	David Goffin - Adrian Mannarino	2:0
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.19	David Goffin - Adrian Mannarino	1:2
ATP Paris
01.11.17	David Goffin - Adrian Mannarino	2:1
ATP Tokyo
08.10.17	Adrian Mannarino - David Goffin	0:2
ATP Basel
28.10.15	Adrian Mannarino - David Goffin	0:2
ATP Marseille
21.02.12	Adrian Mannarino - David Goffin	N/A

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