Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	James Duckworth		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.79	2	Watch
	1.81	2.08
			Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.81	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.63)	2.02 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
53%

Adrian Mannarino
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

James Duckworth - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): James Duckworth will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 103. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 123.

In recent matches, Duckworth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mannarino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Duckworth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

James Duckworth - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.3%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Patrick Maloney - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - James Duckworth	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	James Duckworth - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
24.06.25	Aleksandar Vukic - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Johannus Monday - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Tyler Zink - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
09.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - James Duckworth	Duckworth J. retired
ATP Australian Open
16.01.22	James Duckworth - Adrian Mannarino	2:3
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.21	Adrian Mannarino - James Duckworth	0:2
ATP Newport
12.07.16	James Duckworth - Adrian Mannarino	1:2

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