Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DANDERYD (SWEDEN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 13 November 2023, Monday


	Adrian Oetzbach		Elmer Moeller

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.75	1.95
	1.77	2
	1.78	2.01
	1.83	1.83
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.2)	1.93 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Oetzbach
51.8%

Elmer Moeller
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Oetzbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Oetzbach's performance.

Elmer Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elmer Moeller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Oetzbach than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Oetzbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elmer Moeller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Adrian Oetzbach - Elmer Moeller Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Oetzbach will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Moeller will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oetzbach: 44.1% – 94.3%.

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Preview

Oetzbach is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moeller is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oetzbach could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oetzbach won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Oetzbach
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Adrian Andreev - Adrian Oetzbach	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.11.23	Stefano Napolitano - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Adrian Oetzbach - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
02.11.23	Adrian Oetzbach - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
01.11.23	Adrian Oetzbach - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWWW
- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Patrick Kaukovalta - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.23	Arthur Gea - Elmer Moeller	2:1 ✺
31.10.23	Adrian Bodmer - Elmer Moeller	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Elmer Moeller - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Elmer Moeller - Samir Banerjee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.08.23	Elmer Moeller - Adrian Oetzbach	1:2

Adrian Oetzbach - Elmer Moeller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide