Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Kayseri 9, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Adriana Tkachenko		Ekaterina Yashina

	1	2
	3.2	1.28
	2.76	1.37	Watch
	4.14	1.2	Watch
	2.67	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.24)	1.32 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adriana Tkachenko
29.2%

Ekaterina Yashina
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adriana Tkachenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adriana Tkachenko's form might have worsened.

Ekaterina Yashina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Yashina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adriana Tkachenko than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adriana Tkachenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Yashina than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ekaterina Yashina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adriana Tkachenko - Ekaterina Yashina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tkachenko is ranked WTA: 1186. Yashina is ranked WTA: 537.

Tkachenko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yashina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yashina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Yashina could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adriana Tkachenko
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Adriana Tkachenko - Dune Vaissaud	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Adriana Tkachenko - Anastasiia Aralova	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Adriana Tkachenko - Alana Subasic	Tkachenko A. retired ✺
04.09.25	Dia Evtimova - Adriana Tkachenko	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Adriana Tkachenko - Vivien Sandberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LW?WW
- Ekaterina Yashina
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Ekaterina Yashina - Alana Subasic	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Milana Maslenkova - Ekaterina Yashina	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Ekaterina Yashina - Defne Cirpanli	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Naema Labib - Ekaterina Yashina	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Ekaterina Yashina - Mandegar Farzami	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL

Adriana Tkachenko - Ekaterina Yashina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide