Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Eupen, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday


	Adrien Gobat		Marcel Zielinski

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.49	2.54
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	1.53	2.38
			Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.52)	2.21 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrien Gobat
56.5%

Marcel Zielinski
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrien Gobat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Marcel Zielinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrien Gobat than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Adrien Gobat - Marcel Zielinski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gobat is ranked ATP: 756. Zielinski is ranked ATP: 976.

Gobat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Zielinski has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zielinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gobat could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrien Gobat
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Adrien Gobat - Kevin Edengren	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Adrien Gobat - Romain Faucon	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Attila Boros - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Adrien Gobat - Michal Novansky	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Adrien Gobat - Aleksandr Braynin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Marcel Zielinski - Daniel Verbeek	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Marcel Zielinski - Leo Lagarrigue	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Marcel Zielinski - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Marcel Zielinski - Mario Arce Fernandez	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

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