Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Aidan Mayo		Luis Guto Miguel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2	1.92
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.89
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)	1.85 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aidan Mayo
49.3%

Luis Guto Miguel
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Luis Guto Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Guto Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Aidan Mayo - Luis Guto Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mayo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mayo: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mayo is ranked ATP: 581. Miguel is ranked ATP: 850.

Now, both players are in good form.

Mayo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
27.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Benjamin Willwerth	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Matthew Forbes	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Keshav Chopra	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Luis Guto Miguel
ATP Challenger
27.08.26	Andrew Fenty - Luis Guto Miguel	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Luis Guto Miguel	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Valentin Royer - Luis Guto Miguel	2:1 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW

Aidan Mayo - Luis Guto Miguel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide