Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nevers, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Aidan McHugh		Alexandre Reco

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.65
	1.4	2.7
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.43	2.75
	1.41	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	2.66 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan McHugh
65.3%

Alexandre Reco
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan McHugh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Alexandre Reco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aidan McHugh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Reco than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Reco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aidan McHugh - Alexandre Reco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McHugh is ranked ATP: 574., and Reco is ranked ATP: 959..

McHugh is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Reco have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Reco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with McHugh holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ITF Tournaments
18.09.26	Leonardo Rossi - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	William Rejchtman Vinciguerra - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Valentin Lapalu - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Aidan McHugh - Leonardo Rossi	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	David Eichenseher - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Alexandre Reco
ITF Tournaments
18.09.26	Alexandre Reco - Etienne Donnet	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Damien Clerc - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Melvin Kumar - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Alexandre Reco - Samir Banerjee	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Alexandre Reco - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL

Aidan McHugh - Alexandre Reco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide