Match Info

Date: 18 November 2020, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Aidan McHugh		Francesco Vilardo

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	2.08	1.61
	2.12	1.67
	2.05	1.67
	2.16	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (3)	1.67 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan McHugh
44.6%

Francesco Vilardo
55.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan McHugh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aidan McHugh's performance.

Francesco Vilardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Vilardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aidan McHugh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Vilardo than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Vilardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

McHugh is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vilardo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

McHugh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vilardo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ITF Tournaments
12.11.20	Aidan McHugh - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
11.11.20	Aidan McHugh - Juan Pablo Paz	2:1 ✺
04.11.20	Marko Miladinovic - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
28.10.20	Tristan Boyer - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Aidan McHugh - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Francesco Vilardo
ITF Tournaments
11.11.20	Francesco Vilardo - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
06.11.20	Marek Gengel - Francesco Vilardo	2:0 ✺
05.11.20	Christian Langmo - Francesco Vilardo	0:2 ✺
04.11.20	Francesco Vilardo - Alexey Zakharov	2:1 ✺
30.10.20	David Poljak - Francesco Vilardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Aidan McHugh - Francesco Vilardo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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