Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 MADRID (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Aidan McHugh		Sergi Perez Contri

	1	2
	1.52	2.35
	1.56	2.37
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.8)	2.34 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan McHugh
60.4%

Sergi Perez Contri
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan McHugh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aidan McHugh's performance.

Sergi Perez Contri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergi Perez Contri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aidan McHugh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergi Perez Contri than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergi Perez Contri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches McHugh is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Perez Contri is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Perez Contri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ITF Tournaments
14.09.23	Aidan McHugh - Pablo Masjuan Ginel	2:1 ✺
13.09.23	Aidan McHugh - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Aidan McHugh - Elliot Benchetrit	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Aidan McHugh - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.08.23	Aidan McHugh - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL
- Sergi Perez Contri
ITF Tournaments
14.09.23	Franco Emanuel Egea - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Asier Civera Martinez - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
25.08.23	Sergi Perez Contri - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
23.08.23	Sergi Perez Contri - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Sergi Perez Contri - Noah Regas Luis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Aidan McHugh - Sergi Perez Contri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide