Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Birmingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Ajla Tomljanovic		Katie Swan

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.47	2.87
	1.42	2.68	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)	2.71 ↓ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajla Tomljanovic
65.3%

Katie Swan
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajla Tomljanovic's form might have worsened.

Katie Swan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katie Swan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Swan than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ajla Tomljanovic - Katie Swan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomljanovic will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Swan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 100. Swan is ranked WTA: 203.

Tomljanovic has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Swan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Swan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tomljanovic is considered a favorite.

We predict that Swan will win today's game, with odds of 3.2.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Roland Garros
24.05.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
WTA Rabat
19.05.26	Sada Nahimana - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.26	Noemi Basiletti - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Leolia Jeanjean	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Marta Lombardini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW
- Katie Swan
ITF Tournaments
16.05.26	Katie Swan - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Katie Swan - Mei Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Katie Swan - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Katie Swan - Dalayna Hewitt	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Katie Swan - Chika Miyahara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Ajla Tomljanovic - Katie Swan

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Ajla Tomljanovic - Katie Swan Predictions

Preview

Form

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