Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Ajla Tomljanovic		Caty McNally

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.24	1.32
	3.25	1.41
	3.12	1.34	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.23	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	1.35 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajla Tomljanovic
29.5%

Caty McNally
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajla Tomljanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Caty McNally has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Ajla Tomljanovic - Caty McNally Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tomljanovic will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). McNally will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McNally: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 90. McNally is ranked WTA: 56.

Recent form of Tomljanovic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

McNally has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tomljanovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, McNally is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomljanovic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Rabat
19.05.26	Sada Nahimana - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.26	Noemi Basiletti - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Leolia Jeanjean	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Marta Lombardini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Sara Sorribes Tormo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Caty McNally
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Caty McNally - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Caty McNally - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Caty McNally	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Katerina Siniakova - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Caty McNally - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Guangzhou
23.10.25	Caty McNally - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1
WTA Indian Wells
06.03.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Caty McNally	Tomljanovic A. retired

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