Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday


	Ajla Tomljanovic		Madison Keys

	1	2
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.15	1.7
	2.11	1.68
	2.17	1.75
	2.3	1.62
	2.14	1.71	Watch
	2.18	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.28)	1.69 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajla Tomljanovic
43.6%

Madison Keys
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajla Tomljanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Ajla Tomljanovic - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tomljanovic will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Keys will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomljanovic: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomljanovic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Keys is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tomljanovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Keys will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomljanovic won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Guadalajara 2
17.10.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Fernanda Contreras Gomez	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
05.10.22	Iga Swiatek - Ajla Tomljanovic	Tomljanovic A. retired ✺
03.10.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Georgina Garcia Perez	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Alexandra Ignatik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 W?WWW
- Madison Keys
WTA Guadalajara 2
18.10.22	Magda Linette - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA San Diego
14.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Madison Keys - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
10.10.22	Madison Keys - Ellen Perez	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
03.10.22	Madison Keys - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA San Jose
02.08.18	Ajla Tomljanovic - Madison Keys	Canceled
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.18	Ajla Tomljanovic - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Stanford
05.08.15	Ajla Tomljanovic - Madison Keys	2:1
WTA Sydney
06.01.14	Ajla Tomljanovic - Madison Keys	1:2

Ajla Tomljanovic - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide