Match Info

Date: 2 September 2022, Friday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Russia	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Ajla Tomljanovic		Serena Williams

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.23	1.68
	2.2	1.68
	2.28	1.69
	2.2	1.67
	2.32	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajla Tomljanovic
43%

Serena Williams
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajla Tomljanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Serena Williams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajla Tomljanovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serena Williams than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serena Williams could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ajla Tomljanovic - Serena Williams Predictions

Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Tomljanovic will win (votes: 60 - 66.7%). Williams will win (votes: 30 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomljanovic: 57% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomljanovic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Williams is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Williams could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Williams will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA US Open
31.08.22	Evgeniya Rodina - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
29.08.22	Karolina Muchova - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Petra Kvitova	0:2 ✺
18.08.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Veronika Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
17.08.22	Paula Badosa - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW
- Serena Williams
WTA US Open
31.08.22	Serena Williams - Anett Kontaveit	2:1 ✺
29.08.22	Danka Kovinic - Serena Williams	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.22	Serena Williams - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
10.08.22	Belinda Bencic - Serena Williams	2:0 ✺
08.08.22	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Serena Williams	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW

Ajla Tomljanovic - Serena Williams: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide