Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Hikaru Shiraishi

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.53
	2.16	1.63	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.6)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
39.3%

Hikaru Shiraishi
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Hikaru Shiraishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ryuki Matsuda - Hikaru Shiraishi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Matsuda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 537. Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 441.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shiraishi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shiraishi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Matsuda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Jesse Delaney	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Taisei Ichikawa	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Hyeon Chung - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Hikaru Shiraishi
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Max Basing - Hikaru Shiraishi	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Hikaru Shiraishi	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.07.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1
08.03.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2
19.07.22	Ryuki Matsuda - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2

Ryuki Matsuda - Hikaru Shiraishi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide