Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HEILBRONN (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday


	Akira Santillan		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.2	1.65
	2.05	1.8
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	2.07	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.37)	1.72 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akira Santillan
45.6%

Jozef Kovalik
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akira Santillan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akira Santillan's performance.

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jozef Kovalik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akira Santillan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jozef Kovalik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Akira Santillan - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Santillan will win (votes: 36 - 90%). Kovalik will win (votes: 4 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santillan: 80.7% – 99.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Santillan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kovalik is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kovalik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
06.06.23	Marco Cecchinato - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
05.06.23	Liam Gavrielides - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.05.23	Michael Vrbensky - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
24.05.23	Matyas Cerny - Akira Santillan	Cerny M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWL?
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
05.06.23	Jozef Kovalik - Maximilian Marterer	2:1 ✺
30.05.23	Robert Strombachs - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Daniel Altmaier - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Jozef Kovalik - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Akira Santillan - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide