Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 43, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Alaa Trifi		Chen Dong

	1	2
	2.02	1.73
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.05	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.24)	1.87 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alaa Trifi
49.7%

Chen Dong
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alaa Trifi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alaa Trifi's performance.

Chen Dong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chen Dong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alaa Trifi than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alaa Trifi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chen Dong than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chen Dong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alaa Trifi - Chen Dong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trifi is ranked ATP: 1504. Dong is ranked ATP: 1115.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Dong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dong will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alaa Trifi
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Jorge Plans - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Alaa Trifi - Toby Martin	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Robin Bertrand - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Alaa Trifi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Dali Blanch - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWL
- Chen Dong
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Max Schoenhaus - Chen Dong	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Chen Dong - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Chen Dong - Joe Leather	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Chen Dong	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Chen Dong - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWL

Alaa Trifi - Chen Dong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide