Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Alafia Ayeni		Gergely Madarasz

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.64	2.17
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.66	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.16 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alafia Ayeni
57%

Gergely Madarasz
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alafia Ayeni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alafia Ayeni's performance.

Gergely Madarasz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gergely Madarasz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alafia Ayeni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gergely Madarasz than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gergely Madarasz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Ayeni is ranked ATP: 531. Madarasz is ranked ATP: 753.

Recent performances by Ayeni have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Madarasz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Ayeni will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alafia Ayeni - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alafia Ayeni
ITF Tournaments
30.04.25	Alafia Ayeni - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Neil Oberleitner - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Alafia Ayeni - Alvin Nicholas Tudorica	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
29.03.25	Liam Draxl - Alafia Ayeni	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Maik Steiner - Alafia Ayeni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLW?L
- Gergely Madarasz
ITF Tournaments
30.04.25	Nicolas Garcia Longo - Gergely Madarasz	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Josip Simundza - Gergely Madarasz	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Gergely Madarasz - Dusan Obradovic	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Alessandro Battiston - Gergely Madarasz	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Karlo Kajin - Gergely Madarasz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Alafia Ayeni - Gergely Madarasz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide