Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Istanbul 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alafia Ayeni		Imanol Lopez Morillo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.46
	2.65	1.42	Watch
			Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.46)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alafia Ayeni
34.7%

Imanol Lopez Morillo
65.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Imanol Lopez Morillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imanol Lopez Morillo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alafia Ayeni - Imanol Lopez Morillo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ayeni will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lopez Morillo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ayeni is ranked ATP: 486. Lopez Morillo is ranked ATP: 603.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ayeni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lopez Morillo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Imanol Lopez Morillo - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alafia Ayeni
ATP Challenger
07.05.26	Alafia Ayeni - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Bernard Tomic - Alafia Ayeni	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Philip Sekulic - Alafia Ayeni	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Jake Delaney - Alafia Ayeni	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Alafia Ayeni - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWL
- Imanol Lopez Morillo
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Jakub Filip	Canceled ✺
08.05.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Luis Garcia Paez	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Imanol Lopez Morillo	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Mika Petkovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?LWWL

Alafia Ayeni - Imanol Lopez Morillo