Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday


	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros		Kai Wehnelt

	1	2
	2.5	1.46
	2.82	1.47
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.35)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
35.4%

Kai Wehnelt
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Kai Wehnelt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kai Wehnelt than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kai Wehnelt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Kai Wehnelt Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rubio Fierros will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wehnelt will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rubio Fierros is ranked ATP: 589. Wehnelt is ranked ATP: 692.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rubio Fierros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wehnelt could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Lancelot Erler	2:0
23.06.26	Andrej Nedic - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Radu David Turcanu - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Cezar Stefan Bentzel - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.06.26	Radu Mihai Papoe - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Kai Wehnelt
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Kenny De Schepper - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Kai Wehnelt - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Dylan Dietrich - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Kai Wehnelt - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLLWW

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Kai Wehnelt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide