Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Santa Tecla, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros		Victor Lilov

	1	2
	2.2	1.64
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.24	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.77)	1.59 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
41.1%

Victor Lilov
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros's performance.

Victor Lilov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victor Lilov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victor Lilov than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victor Lilov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Rubio Fierros is ranked ATP: 842. Lilov is ranked ATP: 838.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Lilov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lilov could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Lucca Pinto	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Roberto Cid Subervi	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Ronald Hohmann - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	1:2 ✺
06.06.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Aryan Shah	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Andrew Delgado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW
- Victor Lilov
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Victor Lilov - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Darian King - Victor Lilov	King D. retired ✺
12.06.25	Diego Jarry Fillol - Victor Lilov	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Victor Lilov - Cesar Cruz	Lilov V. retired ✺
21.05.25	Jaden Weekes - Victor Lilov	Lilov V. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?W??

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Victor Lilov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide