Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Brisbane, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Alana Subasic		Belle Thompson

	1	2
	1.18	4.10
	1.28	3.35
	1.22	4.35
	1.21	3.84	Watch
	1.21	4.30
	1.23	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)	3.95 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alana Subasic
76.4%

Belle Thompson
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alana Subasic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alana Subasic's performance.

Belle Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belle Thompson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alana Subasic than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alana Subasic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belle Thompson than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belle Thompson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alana Subasic - Belle Thompson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Subasic is ranked WTA: 432. Thompson is ranked WTA: 714.

Subasic is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Thompson has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Subasic is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Subasic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alana Subasic
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Alana Subasic - Angel Warang	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Alana Subasic - Mana Kawamura	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Alana Subasic - Duru Soke	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Alana Subasic - Kateryna Lazarenko	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Alana Subasic - Deniz Dilek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Belle Thompson
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Belle Thompson	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Eva Lopez - Belle Thompson	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Fangran Tian - Belle Thompson	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Belle Thompson - Anna Kubareva	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Belle Thompson - Celia Anson Sanchez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Belle Thompson - Alana Subasic	0:2

Alana Subasic - Belle Thompson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide