Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Glasgow (United Kingdom), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Glasgow (United Kingdom) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Alastair Gray		Blake Mott

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Alastair Gray
70.9%

Blake Mott
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alastair Gray's performance.

Blake Mott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blake Mott might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alastair Gray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Mott than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blake Mott could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Gray is ranked ATP: 449. Mott is ranked ATP: 481.

Gray is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mott is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gray will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
30.01.25	Marcello Serafini - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Ewen Lumsden - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
24.01.25	Alastair Gray - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
23.01.25	Alastair Gray - Nikola Slavic	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Raul Brancaccio - Alastair Gray	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Blake Mott
ITF Tournaments
30.01.25	Blake Mott - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Stuart Parker - Blake Mott	1:2 ✺
22.01.25	Giles Hussey - Blake Mott	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.25	Blake Mott - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Blake Mott - James Story	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLW

Alastair Gray - Blake Mott