Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vale do Lobo 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Alastair Gray		Emilien Demanet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.58
	1.35	2.89	Watch
	1.51	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.3)	2.62 ↓ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
64.3%

Emilien Demanet
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alastair Gray's form might have worsened.

Emilien Demanet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emilien Demanet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alastair Gray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilien Demanet than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emilien Demanet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alastair Gray - Emilien Demanet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gray (votes: 1 - 50%). Demanet (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gray is ranked ATP: 343. Demanet is ranked ATP: 593.

Gray is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Demanet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gray could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gray won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Alastair Gray - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Alastair Gray - Salvador Monteiro	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Harry Wendelken - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Jonas Forejtek - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Loann Massard - Alastair Gray	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW
- Emilien Demanet
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Emilien Demanet - Jarno Jans	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Emilien Demanet - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Emilien Demanet - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Emilien Demanet - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Emilien Demanet - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.12.23	Alastair Gray - Emilien Demanet	Canceled

Alastair Gray - Emilien Demanet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide