Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Calabasas, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Alastair Gray		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.8
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.28	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.91)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
44.5%

Jack Pinnington Jones
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alastair Gray - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gray will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gray is ranked ATP: 427. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 358.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Pinnington Jones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Alastair Gray - Jacob Brumm	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Alastair Gray - David Fix	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Isaiah Strode - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Finn Murgett - Alastair Gray	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Alastair Gray - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Dan Martin - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
02.02.25	Christopher Eubanks - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLW

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