Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday


	Alastair Gray		Ozan Baris

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.78	1.92	Watch
	1.94	1.89
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.78	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)	1.9 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
50.9%

Ozan Baris
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alastair Gray's form might have worsened.

Ozan Baris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ozan Baris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alastair Gray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ozan Baris than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ozan Baris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alastair Gray - Ozan Baris Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gray will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Baris will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gray is ranked ATP: 505. Baris is ranked ATP: 710.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Baris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
13.09.24	Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Alastair Gray - Antoine Bellier	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Alastair Gray - Daniel De Jonge	Gray A. awarded ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Titouan Droguet - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.24	Alastair Gray - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LW?LL
- Ozan Baris
ATP Challenger
07.10.24	Ozan Baris - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Andres Martin - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Eliot Spizzirri - Ozan Baris	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Joshua Sheehy - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Ozan Baris - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWW

Alastair Gray - Ozan Baris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide