Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LAVER CUP (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Rogers Arena (Vancouver)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1
World	Eurosport 1


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.48	2.6
	1.49	2.68
	1.5	2.5
	1.46	2.72	Watch
	1.54	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.87)	2.59 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
63.4%

Francisco Cerundolo
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's performance.

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.23	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:1 ✺
30.08.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW
- Francisco Cerundolo
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Richard Berankis	Canceled ✺
16.09.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Jiri Vesely - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
28.08.23	Zachary Svajda - Francisco Cerundolo	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?WLWL

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