Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto (Portugal), hard - Final

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Alejandro Moro Canas		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.51	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.46
	1.58	2.46	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.51	2.47	Watch
	1.51	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.72)	2.41 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
61.1%

August Holmgren
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Moro Canas's performance.

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and August Holmgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Moro Canas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Alejandro Moro Canas - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Moro Canas will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 168. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 249.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Holmgren could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moro Canas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moro Canas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
03.08.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jaime Faria	Faria J. retired ✺
02.08.24	Edas Butvilas - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Alexander Blockx - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Antoine Escoffier - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?WWWL
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
03.08.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
02.08.24	August Holmgren - Arthur Reymond	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Timofey Skatov - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	August Holmgren - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	August Holmgren - John Echeverria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.01.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - August Holmgren	2:0

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