Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto (Portugal), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.7	2.23
	1.71	2.19	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	2.12 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
55.6%

Jaime Faria
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Moro Canas's performance.

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaime Faria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Moro Canas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaime Faria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Moro Canas will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 168. Faria is ranked ATP: 169.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Moro Canas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Jaime Faria - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
02.08.24	Edas Butvilas - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Alexander Blockx - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Antoine Escoffier - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL
- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
02.08.24	Vadym Ursu - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Joao Domingues - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
29.07.24	Zsombor Piros - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.24	Enzo Couacaud - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL

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