Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife (Spain), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tenerife (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Denis Yevseyev

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.54	2.31	Watch
	1.61	2.36
	1.56	2.34	Watch
			Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.54	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.56)	2.33 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
60%

Denis Yevseyev
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Denis Yevseyev Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Yevseyev will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 164. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 263.

Moro Canas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Yevseyev is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moro Canas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moro Canas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Yevseyev - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.9%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Montpellier
26.01.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Alejandro Moro Canas	Moro Canas A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Marton Fucsovics - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Christopher Eubanks - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
30.12.24	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LLWL
- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
23.01.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Denis Yevseyev - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Denis Yevseyev - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
20.01.25	Denis Yevseyev - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL

Alejandro Moro Canas - Denis Yevseyev