Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Poncho A. (Esp)


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.15	1.65
	2.2	1.69
	2.2	1.7
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.27)	1.68 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
44.2%

Juncheng Shang
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shang will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shang is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Ugo Blanchet - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLL
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Alexander Bublik - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Juncheng Shang - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Juncheng Shang - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW

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