Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest (Romania), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Referee: Andrei R. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alejandro Tabilo		Marton Fucsovics

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.98	1.82
	2.04	1.86
	2.05	1.86
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.03	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.79)	1.82 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
47.5%

Marton Fucsovics
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marton Fucsovics's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marton Fucsovics, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Alejandro Tabilo - Marton Fucsovics Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Fucsovics will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fucsovics: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tabilo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fucsovics is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tabilo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Marton Fucsovics - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Valentin Vacherot - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
05.04.24	Casper Ruud - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Marton Fucsovics - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

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