Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Lagarde T. (Fra)


	Alejandro Tabilo		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.64	2.38
	1.64	2.39
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	2.4 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
60.2%

Christopher OConnell
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alejandro Tabilo - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tabilo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

OConnell is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tabilo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tabilo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tabilo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
03.03.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWL
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Christopher OConnell - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Christopher OConnell - Maximilian Marterer	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.24	Christopher OConnell - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Martin Damm - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Christopher OConnell - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2

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