Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tanger, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez		Lucio Ratti

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.91	1.85
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.91	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.18)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
49%

Lucio Ratti
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez's performance.

Lucio Ratti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucio Ratti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucio Ratti than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucio Ratti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Turriziani Alvarez is ranked ATP: 1125. Ratti is ranked ATP: 1119.

Recent performances by Turriziani Alvarez have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ratti is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Turriziani Alvarez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ratti could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Ratti will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Lorenzo Comino - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Andres Fernandez Canovas - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Damian Wenger - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Yassine Dlimi	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Clement Chidekh - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWL
- Lucio Ratti
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Nicolo Toffanin - Lucio Ratti	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Lucio Ratti - Niccolo Catini	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Reda Bennani - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Andreas Timini - Lucio Ratti	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Lucio Ratti - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Lucio Ratti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide