Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez		Michiel De Krom

	1	2
	2.59	1.46
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	1.98	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.98)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
38.5%

Michiel De Krom
61.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez's form might have worsened.

Michiel De Krom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michiel De Krom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michiel De Krom than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michiel De Krom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Michiel De Krom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Turriziani Alvarez is ranked ATP: 804. De Krom is ranked ATP: 643.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Turriziani Alvarez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
19.11.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Benjamin Winter Lopez	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Lucas Poullain - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Carles Hernandez - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWW
- Michiel De Krom
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Gabriele Bosio - Michiel De Krom	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Javier Molino - Michiel De Krom	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Alastair Gray - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Michiel De Krom	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Michiel De Krom

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Michiel De Krom Predictions

Preview

Form

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