Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pontevedra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
	2.45	1.51
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.26	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.83)	1.51 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
38.3%

Yaroslav Demin
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez's form might have worsened.

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yaroslav Demin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yaroslav Demin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Yaroslav Demin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Turriziani Alvarez is ranked ATP: 980. Demin is ranked ATP: 869.

Recent performances by Turriziani Alvarez have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Demin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Turriziani Alvarez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Yaroslav Demin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Samuele Pieri - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Eneko Rios Perez	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Matisse Bobichon - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWL
- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Yaroslav Demin - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Yaroslav Demin - Maximilian Figl	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Yaroslav Demin - Enrique Carrascosa Diaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Massimo Giunta - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Yaroslav Demin	Demin Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWL?

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Yaroslav Demin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide