Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.25	1.65
	2.15	1.67
	2.33	1.67
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.16	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.03)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
43.2%

Christian Garin
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Garin will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovacevic: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kovacevic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Shanghai
03.10.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alexey Zakharov	2:1 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
21.09.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Eliot Spizzirri - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- Christian Garin
ATP Beijing
27.09.23	Christian Garin - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Christian Garin - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
22.09.23	Christian Garin - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
21.09.23	Yi Zhou - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide