Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.73)	1.73 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
46.2%

Liam Draxl
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liam Draxl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liam Draxl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Draxl will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 108. Draxl is ranked ATP: 246.

Recent matches Kovacevic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Draxl is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kovacevic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
06.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.12.24	Christopher Eubanks - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
26.11.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Diego Fernandez Flores	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
11.01.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
10.01.25	Rudolf Molleker - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
09.01.25	Liam Draxl - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Liam Draxl - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Liam Draxl - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.11.20	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Liam Draxl	0:2
13.09.19	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Liam Draxl	2:0

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Liam Draxl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide