Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.65	2.2
	1.67	2.22
	1.7	2.2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.19	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.46)	2.21 ↓ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
57.4%

Stefano Napolitano
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	0%	52.9%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Napolitano will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kovacevic is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Napolitano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kovacevic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kovacevic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
21.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
18.04.23	Stefano Napolitano - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Stefano Travaglia - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.04.23	Stefano Napolitano - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Paul Inchauspe - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWW

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide