Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 4 (PORTUGAL), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.54	2.4
	1.64	2.39
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)	2.32 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
59.4%

Alexander Ritschard
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Ritschard will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukic: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vukic in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Ritschard is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vukic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Vukic to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
16.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Max Purcell - Aleksandar Vukic	Purcell M. retired ✺
13.05.23	Brandon Holt - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
11.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WW?WW
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Alexander Ritschard - Mate Valkusz	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Martin Landaluce - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
11.05.23	Alexander Ritschard - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	Gijs Brouwer - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Alexander Ritschard - Joris De Loore	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWL

Aleksandar Vukic - Alexander Ritschard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide