Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 4 (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Frederico Ferreira Silva

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.67	2.15
	1.65	2.3
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.67	2.11	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.37)	2.25 ↓ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
58.3%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.

Frederico Ferreira Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frederico Ferreira Silva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frederico Ferreira Silva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.7%	0%	85.3%

Aleksandar Vukic - Frederico Ferreira Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Ferreira Silva will win (votes: 29 - 85.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferreira Silva: 73.4% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vukic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ferreira Silva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferreira Silva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vukic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vukic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
13.05.23	Max Purcell - Aleksandar Vukic	Purcell M. retired ✺
13.05.23	Brandon Holt - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
11.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
09.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ?WWWW
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
09.05.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
01.05.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Robin Haase	0:2 ✺
28.04.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Mate Valkusz	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Raphael Collignon - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
24.05.21	Aleksandar Vukic - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0

Aleksandar Vukic - Frederico Ferreira Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide