Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.31	1.37
	3.3	1.35	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.31	1.34	Watch
	3.4	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.96)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
28.6%

Casper Ruud
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	0%	58.8%

Aleksandar Vukic - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Ruud will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 90. Ruud is ranked ATP: 9.

Recent matches Vukic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruud is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ruud is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Casper Ruud - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Casper Ruud - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Casper Ruud - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.24	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL

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