Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)


	Casper Ruud		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.2	1.36
	2.63	1.54
	3.26	1.38	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.19	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.37)	1.38 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
30.5%

Taylor Harry Fritz
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casper Ruud's form might have worsened.

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taylor Harry Fritz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casper Ruud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taylor Harry Fritz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Fritz will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 8. Fritz is ranked ATP: 12.

Ruud is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fritz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Fritz is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruud won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Casper Ruud - Juncheng Shang	3:2 ✺
28.08.24	Casper Ruud - Gael Monfils	3:1 ✺
26.08.24	Casper Ruud - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Casper Ruud - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Korda	Korda S. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWL?
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Francisco Comesana - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
28.08.24	Matteo Berrettini - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Sebastian Korda - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
03.06.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Casper Ruud	1:3
Exhibition World Tennis League
21.12.23	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:0
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.22	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.22	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled

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