Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Manama, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Aleksandre Bakshi		Timofei Derepasko

	1	2
	1.79	1.95
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.81	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)	1.89 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandre Bakshi
51.1%

Timofei Derepasko
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandre Bakshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandre Bakshi's form might have worsened.

Timofei Derepasko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofei Derepasko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandre Bakshi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandre Bakshi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timofei Derepasko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aleksandre Bakshi - Timofei Derepasko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bakshi is ranked ATP: 541. Derepasko is ranked ATP: 827.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Derepasko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bakshi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandre Bakshi
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Nino Ehrenschneider	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Essa Qabazard	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Aleksandre Bakshi - Ali Habib	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW
- Timofei Derepasko
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Peter Fajta - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	David Bakonyi - Timofei Derepasko	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Botond Kisantal - Timofei Derepasko	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Niklas Guttau - Timofei Derepasko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW

Aleksandre Bakshi - Timofei Derepasko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide