Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Gregorio, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Alessandra Mazzola		Alice Tubello

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.11	1.75
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.23)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandra Mazzola
43.4%

Alice Tubello
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandra Mazzola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alice Tubello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandra Mazzola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alice Tubello could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandra Mazzola - Alice Tubello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mazzola is ranked WTA: 489. Tubello is ranked WTA: 425.

Mazzola is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tubello has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tubello may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tubello could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Gabriela Ce	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Oana Georgeta Simion	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Dayeon Back - Alessandra Mazzola	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Vera Zvonareva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWL?
- Alice Tubello
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Vittoria Paganetti - Alice Tubello	Paganetti V. retired ✺
19.03.26	Viola Turini - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Alice Tubello - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Alice Tubello - Maddalena Giordano	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Gabriela Ce - Alice Tubello	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 ?WLWL

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