Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 2h 8m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Curitiba 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alice Tubello		Jasmin Ortenzi

	1	2
	1.50	2.50	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.61	2.28
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.30
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.35)	2.36 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alice Tubello
60.3%

Jasmin Ortenzi
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alice Tubello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alice Tubello's form might have worsened.

Jasmin Ortenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmin Ortenzi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alice Tubello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmin Ortenzi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alice Tubello - Jasmin Ortenzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tubello will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ortenzi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tubello is ranked WTA: 207., and Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 173..

Tubello has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Ortenzi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tubello may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Tubello is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Tubello has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alice Tubello
ATP Challenger
28.10.26	Alice Tubello - Luna Maria Cinalli	2:0 ✺
26.10.26	Laura Samsonova - Alice Tubello	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.26	Alice Tubello - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Alice Tubello - Stella Jurina	Jurina S. Retired ✺
13.10.26	Alice Tubello - Josy Daems	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWL?W
- Jasmin Ortenzi
ATP Challenger
28.10.26	Lourdes Ayala - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
26.10.26	Victoria Bosio - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Polona Hercog - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
12.10.26	Barbora Palicova - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Alice Tubello - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0
10.08.24	Jasmin Ortenzi - Alice Tubello	0:2
11.05.24	Alice Tubello - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0

Alice Tubello - Jasmin Ortenzi