Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Alessandra Mazzola		Deborah Chiesa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.72	Watch
	1.41	2.93
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.63
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.69)	2.81 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alessandra Mazzola
66.9%

Deborah Chiesa
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandra Mazzola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandra Mazzola's performance.

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deborah Chiesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandra Mazzola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deborah Chiesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandra Mazzola - Deborah Chiesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mazzola is ranked WTA: 469. Chiesa is ranked WTA: 540.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mazzola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mazzola is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Alice Rame - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Gabriela Ce	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Oana Georgeta Simion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Deborah Chiesa - Ania Hertel	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Martina Trevisan - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Deborah Chiesa - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Deborah Chiesa - Sapfo Sakellaridi	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Deborah Chiesa - Fiona Crawley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches